A new opinion poll has predicted that Alok Sharma and Matt Rodda will both retain their seats at the General Election on December 12.

The YouGov poll predicts Labour’s Mr Rodda will win again in Reading East by just 4 per cent and the Conservatives’ Alok Sharma will return as an MP in Reading West with a 9 per cent lead.

READ MORE: Here are the general election candidates for Reading East and Reading West

The 'YouGov MRP' poll accurately predicted a hung parliament at the last General Election in 2017 but this year has predicted a 68-seat majority for the Tories.

It is important to note the poll uses a national model, which does not always account for specific local factors that may shape the vote in some seats.

How could Labour and Conservative MPs perform?

Alok Sharma is predicted to get 48 per cent of the vote in Reading West, compared to his Labour rival Rachel Eden who is predicted to get a 39 per cent vote share.

Matt Rodda is predicted 43 per cent in Reading East, ahead of rival Tory rival Craig Morley’s prediction of 39 per cent.

How are the other parties predicted to perform?

The Lib Dems are predicted to finish third in both constituencies, with 10 per cent of the vote in Reading West – where Reading councillor Meri O’Connell is standing and 11 per cent in Reading East – where Wokingham councillor Imogen Shepherd-DuBey is the candidate.

Fourth place goes to the Green Party in both predictions with 3 per cent for David McElroy in Reading West and 4 per cent for Reading councillor Jamie Whitham in Reading East.

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The Brexit Party are only standing one candidate – Mitchell Feierstein in Reading East – who is precited to pick up 2 per cent of the vote.

The only other candidate is Yemi Awolola, the Christian People’s Alliance in Reading East, who could take some of the 1 per cent of ‘other’ votes 1 predicted.

How the predicted results compare to what happened in 2017

In 2017, Matt Rodda won with 49 per cent of the vote, 6.7 per cent ahead of Tory rival and previous Reading East MP Rob Wilson.

Alok Sharma got 48.9 per cent to beat Labour’s Olivia Bailey by 5.6 per cent.

The Lib Dems came third in both seats with around 6 per cent of the vote and Greens came fourth in both with around 2 per cent.

What evidence is the polling based on?

The estimates are based on 100,319 interviews conducted over 7 days up to and including November 26.

The polling is only an estimate of current voting intentions, not a forecast of how people will vote on 12 December.

The samples in each constituency are too small to be reliable by themselves and are subject to more than just sampling error.

What does the poll predict nationally?

The YouGov poll shows the Conservatives taking 43 per cent of the vote with Labour on 32 per cent and the Liberal Democrats trailing on 14 per cent.

The Scottish National Party is estimated to pick up 43 seats with one each for Plaid Cymru and the Greens.

One seat is expected to go to another unspecified party.

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The poll does not predict results in the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.

In terms of estimates seat numbers in the House of Commons, the Conservatives are predicted to get 359 to Labour’s 211, which would give Boris Johnson a majority of 68.

Labour slipping back to 211 seats would put the party in a similar position to 1983 when Margaret Thatcher won her second General Election by a landslide.